StormBot Field Notes
Releases, research, and what's coming next from the engine team.
Two New Ways to Play the Sky: Storm Spin and Storm Bet Are Live
NEW LAUNCH · STORM GAMES Two New Ways to Play the Sky: Storm Spin and Storm Bet Are Live June 16, 2026 This is a big one for the Field Notes. StormBot has always pointed its instruments at one thing — reading the atmosphere better than the market and trading that edge for you. To…
Read field noteThe Hong Kong Lock: We Stopped Forecasting the City and Started Reading It
ENGINE UPGRADE · HONG KONG The Hong Kong Lock: We Stopped Forecasting the City and Started Reading It June 3, 2026 Polymarket settles every Hong Kong temperature market on a single number — the official daily maximum logged by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). For one city, that t…
Read field noteStormBot by the Numbers: 9,592 Traders, $2.87M in Member Profit, and Exactly What It Costs to Run
We keep these Field Notes on one rule: show the readings, not just the story. When the weather turns we publish the gauge, not a vibe — and the same goes for the platform itself. As of May 23, 2026, StormBot serves 9,592 registered traders across 94 countries, who have realized a…
Read field noteWe Banned 213 Accounts for Engine Abuse — Here Is Exactly What Happened, and Why
ENGINE ABUSE · TRANSPARENCY REPORT We Banned 213 Accounts for Engine Abuse — Here Is Exactly What Happened, and Why May 22, 2026 Over a 30-day audit window ending May 22, 2026, StormBot identified and removed 213 user accounts for sustained abuse of our AI Engine. Roughly 85% of …
Read field noteA Closer Look at Magic15 — the Set-and-Forget Workflow
SET-AND-FORGET A Closer Look at Magic15 — the Set-and-Forget Workflow May 18, 2026 We have already laid out how StormBot's two modes differ. This post is narrower and more practical: it is about actually living with the set-and-forget mode. Magic15 is the one we point new traders…
Read field notePosition Memory: StormBot Now Remembers What It Holds Across Restarts
RELIABILITY · SHIPPED · PROTECTS YOUR BANKROLL Position Memory: StormBot Now Remembers What It Holds Across Restarts May 18, 2026 This is a Field Note about one of the most important reliability fixes in StormBot's history. It is not a flashy new feature — it is a bankroll-protec…
Read field noteBeware of Copycats — fake sites are impersonating StormBot
SECURITY ALERT · IMPORTANT · READ THIS Beware of Copycats — fake sites are impersonating StormBot April 28, 2026 Sites pretending to be StormBot are real, and they are dangerous. They copy our look, lift our branding, and wire their "connect wallet" screen to steal your keys. We …
Read field noteWiring WeatherNext 2 Into the Engine
IN DEVELOPMENT · ALPHA Wiring WeatherNext 2 Into the Engine April 21, 2026 We've started on what is, by some distance, the biggest forecast-accuracy upgrade we've ever attempted: folding Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2 into the StormBot probability core. If we land it cleanly, it…
Read field noteEngine v2 Shipped — Faster Streams, Wider Books, Tighter AI
MAJOR RELEASE Engine v2 Shipped — Faster Streams, Wider Books, Tighter AI April 14, 2026 Engine v2 is live. This was not a UI patch or a feature tweak — it is a ground-up rebuild. New infrastructure, a new trading core, a new dashboard and a noticeably different experience for ev…
Read field noteWhen StormBot Might Close Its Doors — A Plain Update
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT When StormBot Might Close Its Doors — A Plain Update March 29, 2026 It's time for a candid conversation with the community about where StormBot goes from here. The growth we've seen over the last several months has been off-the-charts — and it has forced us…
Read field noteGemini, TensorFlow & Our Own Weather Station — What Comes Next
MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT Gemini, TensorFlow & Our Own Weather Station — What Comes Next March 26, 2026 We're putting together something that, as far as we can tell, no prediction-market trader has done before: owning the data pipeline end to end. Most bots in this space stop at public …
Read field noteThe Self-Improving Loop — Every Closed Trade Teaches the Engine
NEW FEATURE The Self-Improving Loop — Every Closed Trade Teaches the Engine March 26, 2026 Most trading bots are frozen in time. The logic they run today is the logic they ran on day one. If they made a bad trade once, they will happily make the same bad trade tomorrow. We decide…
Read field noteWhat's On The Build List Right Now
DEVELOPMENT ROADMAP What's On The Build List Right Now March 26, 2026 The team is operating round the clock to push StormBot further than any other prediction-market trading stack in production. This is not a side project. It is a full-time operation that consumes a meaningful ch…
Read field noteThe Browser Heartbeat That Conserves Claude Credits
ENGINEERING UPDATE The Browser Heartbeat That Conserves Claude Credits March 26, 2026 Some honesty up front: running this engine is expensive on the AI side. Every five minutes, Claude reviews fifteen books — fifteen separate API calls, each carrying a fully briefed meteorologica…
Read field noteThe Two Modes: Continuous and Magic15
STRATEGY UPDATE ★ MAGIC15 RECOMMENDED The Two Modes: Continuous and Magic15 March 2026 · Updated May 18, 2026 to match the live engine StormBot keeps it deliberately simple. There are exactly two run modes, and they share the same brain — the same four-model forecast, the same ed…
Read field noteHow the Engine Finds the Edge
GUIDE How the Engine Finds the Edge A six-stage walkthrough of the full pipeline 01 Locate weather books The discovery layer queries Polymarket's Gamma API filtered by the weather tag, surfacing somewhere between 200 and 1,200 active books at any given moment. Each book carries m…
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